Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction: Key Stats and Betting Tips

Portman Road hosts a fascinating Premier League clash on 4 September 2026 as newly established top-flight side Ipswich welcome Liverpool for Matchday 3. Early-season points are at a premium, and this fixture pitches Ipswich’s energetic start against a Liverpool team still searching for their first league win of the campaign.

Ipswich arrive with three points from their opening two matches, sitting 12th with one win and one defeat. They have been entertaining but open: four goals scored and six conceded underline both their attacking intent and defensive vulnerability. Liverpool, by contrast, are unbeaten but winless – two draws from two leave them 13th, behind Ipswich on points despite higher expectations and a stronger squad on paper.

With Liverpool heavily favoured by the bookmakers but statistical models giving Ipswich a puncher’s chance, this Ipswich vs Liverpool prediction hinges on whether the visitors’ superior quality can finally translate into three points, or if Ipswich can once again make Portman Road an awkward away day for one of the league’s giants.

Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Stats

• Ipswich have taken 3 points from 2 Premier League matches (1 win, 1 loss), scoring 4 and conceding 6.
• Liverpool won both league meetings in 2024, including a 4-1 home victory on 25 January 2025 and a 2-0 away win at Portman Road on 17 August 2024.
• Across their 2026 Premier League statistics so far, both Ipswich and Liverpool average 2.0 goals scored per game, but Ipswich concede 3.0 per match compared to Liverpool’s 2.0.

Ipswich vs Liverpool — Tale of the Tape

• Position: 12 vs 13
• Points: 3 vs 2
• Goals For: 4 vs 4
• Goals Against: 6 vs 4
• Clean Sheets: 0 vs 0

After two rounds, the table is tight, but the numbers already sketch contrasting profiles. Ipswich’s 3 points from 2 games come with a negative goal difference of -2, driven by a heavy away defeat (5-2) offsetting a 2-1 home win. Their attack is productive at 2.0 goals per game, but conceding 3.0 on average leaves them exposed against elite opponents.

Liverpool’s start has been more controlled but underwhelming: two draws, 4 goals scored and 4 conceded, for a neutral goal difference. They have shown resilience, avoiding defeat both home and away, yet have not translated their territorial and technical superiority into victories. Both sides are yet to keep a clean sheet in 2026, suggesting another open contest, but Liverpool’s defensive record is marginally stronger and their historical dominance in this matchup adds weight to their favourite status.

Ipswich vs Liverpool Key Matchups

J. Enciso vs C. Gakpo

Julio César Enciso Espínola has quickly become a creative hub for Ipswich. In 2 Premier League appearances (both starts, 161 minutes), he has delivered 2 assists, underlining his role as the primary chance creator. He couples that with 5 shots (1 on target), 47 passes at 85% accuracy, and 2 key passes, plus strong work off the ball: 2 tackles, 1 interception, and 12 duels won from 21. His dribbling threat is significant too, with 11 attempts and 6 successful dribbles.

On the other side, Cody Gakpo is already Liverpool’s standout attacking midfielder. In 2 appearances (2 starts, 161 minutes), he has 1 goal and 1 assist, with 3 shots (1 on target) and 51 passes at 78% accuracy. His 5 key passes show how central he is to Liverpool’s chance creation, while 3 tackles and 4 interceptions underline his contribution in the press. This duel – Enciso trying to unlock Liverpool’s back line, Gakpo orchestrating and finishing at the other end – could define the game’s tempo and territory.

Emersonn vs Víctor Muñoz

For Ipswich, Emersonn offers a direct goal threat from the front line. Across 2 starts and 111 minutes, he has scored 1 goal from 3 shots (2 on target), with 13 passes at 76% accuracy and 3 key passes. He has also completed both of his 2 dribble attempts and won 8 of 18 duels, showing a blend of finishing, link play and physicality that can trouble Liverpool’s defence, especially in transition.

Liverpool’s Víctor Muñoz has been one of their liveliest attacking outlets. In 2 appearances (1 start, 117 minutes), he has 1 goal, 3 shots (1 on target) and 26 passes at 76% accuracy, with 1 key pass. His defensive work is notable: 2 tackles, 1 block and 3 interceptions, plus 18 duels contested and 7 won. He has also drawn 4 fouls and won a penalty, highlighting his ability to provoke mistakes. Emersonn’s movement against Liverpool’s back line, and Muñoz’s ability to stretch Ipswich and win set-piece opportunities, both look pivotal.

Head-to-Head: Last Meetings

Recent Premier League meetings have been one-sided in Liverpool’s favour, both home and away, with Ipswich struggling to contain the visitors’ attacking power.

• 25 January 2025: Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich (Premier League)
• 17 August 2024: Ipswich 0-2 Liverpool (Premier League)

Ipswich vs Liverpool Prediction

Stats suggest a high-variance encounter. Ipswich have been involved in matches with plenty of goals: they average 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded per game, with both of their league fixtures going over 1.5 goals. Their goals for are spread across the 16–30, 46–60 and 76–90 minute ranges, while a significant share of their goals conceded has come between 31–45 and 61–75 minutes, indicating vulnerability around half-time and into the final third of the match.

Liverpool, meanwhile, also average 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, with their goals concentrated after the break (50% between 46–60 minutes and 50% between 76–90). Defensively, they have conceded in every quarter-hour from 0–75, which aligns with their two draws: they score enough to stay in games but have not yet shut opponents down.

The prediction model gives Liverpool a 45% chance of victory and Ipswich only 10%, with the draw also at 45%. That points towards a strong “Liverpool or draw” angle rather than a guaranteed away win. Ipswich’s home win over another opponent and their attacking metrics suggest they can score, but Liverpool’s superior squad depth, Gakpo’s form, and their perfect recent head-to-head record tilt the balance their way.

Predicted Score: Ipswich 1-2 Liverpool

Ipswich Recent Form

Ipswich’s recent form in the Premier League reads as one win and one loss from their opening two fixtures. They have been effective going forward, scoring 4 goals at an average of 2.0 per game, and have yet to fail to score. However, conceding 6 goals in the same span, including a 5-2 away defeat, shows that their defensive structure is still adapting to top-flight demands. At Portman Road, they have been stronger, with a 2-1 home victory underlining their capacity to trouble visiting defences.

Liverpool Recent Form

Liverpool’s recent form is defined by consistency without cutting edge: two draws from two Premier League matches. They have scored 4 goals (2.0 per game) and conceded 4, with no clean sheets but also no defeats. Their attacking output has been steady, with goals arriving in the second half, yet they have not managed to turn control into wins. The lack of a victory adds pressure ahead of this trip, but the unbeaten record and balanced goal difference indicate a side that is close to clicking.

Ipswich Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Ipswich (by position): GK: A. Palmer or D. Button; Defenders: L. Davis, I. Diop, D. Furlong, C. Kipré, J. Greaves; Midfielders: J. Enciso, Florentino, S. Lukić, A. Matusiwa, M. Núñez, A. Fatawu; Forwards: Emersonn, C. Akpom, J. Philogene, C. Ogbene, D. Maeda.

Ipswich have frequently used a 4-2-3-1 structure in their early fixtures, and their squad composition supports that shape again. Enciso should operate as the main creative midfielder, with Fatawu offering width and dribbling, while Emersonn and Akpom provide goal threat up front or from the bench. The back line, built around physical defenders like Diop and Kipré, will need to improve on the 6 goals conceded so far, especially against Liverpool’s movement between the lines.

Liverpool Possible Starting Lineup

Potential key players for Liverpool (by position): GK: Alisson Becker or G. Mamardashvili; Defenders: V. van Dijk, R. Araújo, J. Gomez, M. Kerkez, K. Tsimikas, J. Frimpong; Midfielders: W. Endo, A. Mac Allister, R. Gravenberch, F. Wirtz, H. Elliott, D. Szoboszlai, C. Gakpo; Forwards: F. Chiesa, A. Isak, Víctor Muñoz, H. Ekitike.

Liverpool have also favoured a 4-2-3-1, which maximises the creative influence of Gakpo and Wirtz behind a central striker such as Isak. Mac Allister and Endo or Gravenberch can balance control and ball progression in midfield. At the back, leadership from Van Dijk, combined with the athleticism of Araújo and attacking full-backs like Frimpong or Kerkez, should allow Liverpool to press high, though their lack of clean sheets shows there is still work to do in defensive transitions.

Ipswich Team News

No significant absences reported.

Liverpool Team News

No significant absences reported.

Injuries & Suspensions

Ipswich:

• None reported.

Liverpool:

• None reported.

Betting Tips: Ipswich vs Liverpool

Exactly 3 distinct betting angles, using current stats and market prices:

• Result Tip: Back Liverpool to win. Predictions give Liverpool a 45% chance of victory versus only 10% for Ipswich, with the draw also at 45%. The head-to-head record is strongly in Liverpool’s favour, and their squad quality should eventually convert draws into wins. Away odds range from 1.57 to 1.68, implying an approximate probability between 59.5% and 63.7%, which is shorter than the model’s 45% but still reflects their status as clear favourites.
• Goals Tip: Over 1.5 total goals. Both teams average 2.0 goals scored per game and have yet to keep a clean sheet. Ipswich’s matches feature 5 goals per game on average (4 for, 6 against over 2 games), while Liverpool’s average 4 total goals (4 for, 4 against). All four combined fixtures have gone over 1.5 goals, and the prediction advice explicitly leans towards “+1.5 goals”. While exact over/under odds are not listed, this market is likely to be heavily favoured, but still a strong leg for accumulators.
• Value Tip: Draw in the Match Winner market. The prediction splits the draw and Liverpool win at 45% each, while the market prices the draw between 3.84 and 4.51, implying roughly 22.2% to 26.0% probability. Given Liverpool’s two draws so far and Ipswich’s solid home showing, the draw looks undervalued. As a higher-risk, higher-reward angle, the stalemate offers potential value compared to the implied probabilities from the odds.

Odds are accurate at the time of writing and subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.